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INSIGHT: Hunkering Down While Gearing Up for the New Year
10 questions firm leaders should ask themselves as they move into 2003. by Peter Piven, Steven Isaacs, and Hugh Hochberg of The Coxe Group January 2, 2003 Depending on your point of
view and the pundits you follow, things are looking down, flat, or up in 2003
for design firms and their clients alike. “Fluid” seems to be the best word to
describe the moment. Given this situation, not to
mention other serious challenges facing our country, the question you may be
best served to ask yourself at the start of the new year is not: What time is
it? Rather, it should be: What time
do you want it to be? In other words, looking
beyond the horizon, what are your firm’s longer-term goals, which might be
quite different from current circumstances? This may be the best time to consider, or reconsider, the path to
those goals, together with their implications and probable consequences. That question – What time do
you want it to be? – inspired us to offer a series of other related questions
for you to consider as you start this year. Meant to focus discussion in your
firm about where you are heading, these questions could also help you to put
the year, your practice, and perhaps even your career in perspective. Q: Is your budget current? A: In times like this, it is best to budget conservatively, which
means being realistic about revenue. Even practices that rely on term-contract
public sector projects – state and local work, especially – will probably
experience a second wave of economic downtown as public funding of construction
is cut back. Firm leaders who are overly optimistic might agree to expenditures
that would not be acceptable against lowered income. As a matter of policy, it
is best to anticipate this will happen and budget expenses accordingly – and
then monitor the budget across the year, especially if the economy improves. Q: Do you have the right banker? A: The prevailing wisdom might be that now is not the time to shop
around for a new banking relationship. Banks are taking a much more
conservative position on loans against receivables, and few banks understand
the specific needs of this industry. If you feel undervalued in your existing
relationship, you should certainly explore new options. If you have branch
offices, try this in several key locations. As part of this, to be sure that
you have enough cash on hand, re-evaluate your short-term financing needs and
also your long-term requirements, and see what options you have. Just don’t
abandon an existing relationship without having a new one firmly in place. Q: Do you have the right staff and mix? A: You have every reason now to assess staff capabilities
unsentimentally. The well-rounded employee is a significant asset, especially
in a downturn. Specialists are still necessary to acquire projects and produce
cutting-edge work, but lower-level staff members skilled at a various project
types increase productivity and efficiency. Q: Are you recruiting? A: Do not respond: Why would I? 2003 could be an
excellent time to consider upgrading your staff: replace people or expand their
responsibilities, as opposed to adding new people. Even a stable economy is no reason to stay away from
the marketplace for your most valuable asset – good people. On the contrary, a
marketplace in a lull is typically flooded with talent that would otherwise not
be available. Worst case, you will keep abreast of changes; best case, you will
find candidates who are better than the people you have now. Q: Are you continuing your training programs? A: Some firms view downturns as beneficial because they create time
during which to do research, bolster quality control, or advance training. With
the constant use of computers for communication and education, these
opportunities are even greater. It
is not counterintuitive to encourage your leadership to return to school or
other programs for advanced education, or even to take a sabbatical. While the
compensation available to subsidize this education may not be readily
available, people often return to school during stalled economies to learn new
technologies, skills, or approaches. Their accelerated learning results in a
strong, wider base of experience within the firm, sooner in a career. Moreover,
while someone is on sabbatical (or getting an executive MBA, for instance),
others get a chance to grow by assuming the temporarily vacated
responsibilities. Q: What are you doing to strengthen your marketing
activities? A: Marketing is usually the first program cut when profits shrink. But,
in a survival-impelled marketplace, getting and keeping your name out there is
vital. If you don’t already have a goal-specific marketing and selling program
in place, implement one now. If you already have one going, don’t cut it: make
it smarter. Make
the time to formally interview your clients and prospects about what is going
on in their world now and ahead, and thereby learn what they could
really use from their design consultants to achieve their goals. With
technology driving so much of our business dealings these days, face-to-face
communication like this survey will surely be welcome and effective. Moreover,
besides yielding ideas on how to provide more value to your clients in the
current situation, this approach could generate useful information about what
is needed to recover and prosper in the business of design and construction in
the years ahead. Q: Are you
fully aware of the resources available to your firm? A: The AIA California Council’s recent conference
included discussions about expanding practice in a shrinking universe. One of
the conference’s most interesting topics was the importance of having a
multidisciplinary approach – in fact, having alternative combinations of
services. This approach could enhance accountability and efficiency, and therefore
positively affect project cost and quality. While there is a little time
to think [or another way to look at this period: fewer opportunities with
clients that have more acute needs], consider and investigate innovative
alliances that might benefit your clients and add to your distinctiveness. If
you look at academic institutions, competitors, venture partners, related kinds
of consultants, and other entities with creativity, you might transform your
practice into something quite remarkable. Q: How well
is the next generation of leaders performing under this stress? A: This is a very good moment to test and train the
people who might carry the firm forward in the future. Give them every chance
to take on more management responsibility during what some would consider the
worst of times, and support their efforts to learn and bolster the firm. How
else will you know if they can ultimately shoulder the responsibility? It does
not make sense to wait for a better economy to plan for a transition or to
prepare them for it. There is a clear lesson
here: the normal cycle of practice inevitably includes predicting, preparing
for, and getting through an economic downturn. Q: How well
are you performing under this stress? A: Confidence is in short supply these days; America is
experiencing an amazing display of bad performance in corporate, institutional,
and government leadership. Even in just normally
tenuous times, the challenges to leaders increase dramatically. Effective
leaders realize that – all circumstances to the contrary – they must stay
positive, even enthusiastic, about the long view. Looking ahead requires
confidence that there is an “ahead.” But besides considering the future and
bringing in work, leaders provide support to their staff. Perhaps their most
important assignment is to assure clients and prospective clients that their
strong management, informed decision-making, and service orientation will
protect their relationships. Q: Do you
have an exit strategy? A: There is never a time not to consider an exit
strategy, and now could be an especially propitious time to do so. Whether you
are of “a certain age” or had no choice but to slow down this year, you’ve got
a bit of time to be thinking about your firm’s future, as well as about the
future of everyone in it, including yourself. The Coxe Group is a multi-discipline management consulting firm that
has guided design and building
professionals through 35 years of economic cycles. The Principals and Senior
Consultants who contributed to this article are based in Philadelphia [Peter Piven], San
Francisco [Steven Isaacs],
and Seattle [Hugh
Hochberg]. |
(click on pictures to enlarge) When is it not time to hunker down? |
© 2003 ArchNewsNow.com